US uninsured rate rises above 11% by Q2 2027
Resolves: U.S. Census Bureau or CDC data shows the uninsured rate (age-adjusted) exceeds 11.0% in Q2 2027
user-generated· macro
US uninsured rate rises above 11% by Q2 2027
Market overview
The combination of double-digit premium hikes and reduced subsidies will push more Americans out of the ACA marketplace. Enrollment drops and out-of-pocket costs will drive a measurable increase in the uninsured rate, reversing recent improvements.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. Census Bureau or CDC data shows the uninsured rate (age-adjusted) exceeds 11.0% in Q2 2027
Source: user-generated
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