10-year Treasury yield falls below 3.75% by December 2026
Resolves: The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note is below 3.75% on December 31, 2026, based on the most widely cited benchmark (e.g., Bloomberg or Treasury data).
user-generated· macro
10-year Treasury yield falls below 3.75% by December 2026
Market overview
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note will decline to below 3.75% by December 31, 2026, reflecting investor expectations of Fed easing and persistent demand for safe assets. This would mark a significant drop from current levels.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note is below 3.75% on December 31, 2026, based on the most widely cited benchmark (e.g., Bloomberg or Treasury data).
Source: user-generated
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