zeitgeist· Macro & World
Will US unemployment exceed consensus in 2024?
Market overview
Predict if US unemployment in 2024 will surpass consensus forecasts. Market resolves based on official data comparisons.
Macro & World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 58%
- Volume
- $43,000
- Closes
- 2027-02-05
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official government labor statistics (e.g., US Bureau of Labor Statistics) released for any given month in 2024 show an unemployment rate that is higher than the median forecast compiled by major financial news outlets or economic institutions that regularly publish such consensus estimates.
Source: zeitgeist
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