zeitgeist· Macro & World
Will US unemployment spike before August 2026?
Market overview
Predict whether US unemployment will surge before August 2026. This market tracks major job market shifts and economic policy impacts.
Macro & World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 28%
- Volume
- $9,000
- Closes
- 2026-08-17
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Resolution will be based on a widely reported and significant event directly impacting unemployment rates or labor market structure, such as a major recession, a substantial shift in employment figures (e.g., >1% change in unemployment rate within a quarter), or the passage of major employment-related legislation. The event must be clearly identifiable and reported by multiple reputable news sources.
Source: zeitgeist
More Macro & World markets
- Will a major real estate announcement happen before April 2027? — 25% Yes
- Will a major gold discovery be announced by Nov 2026? — 73% Yes
- Will Elon Musk rank top-5 in prediction market themes by Q3 2026? — 46% Yes
- Will GDP surprise before December 2026? — 61% Yes
- Will GDP face major regulatory scrutiny by 2027? — 57% Yes
- Will U.S. national debt dominate headlines by 2024? — 41% Yes
- Will Iran trigger a central bank response by Q2 2026? — 45% Yes
- Will GDP partnership or strategic deal be announced by 2026? — 38% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…