zeitgeist· Macro & World
Will GDP surprise before December 2026?
Market overview
A market predicting if a major GDP-related announcement, revision, or policy shift will occur before December 2026. Forecasts the likelihood of economic surprises.
Macro & World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 61%
- Volume
- $9,000
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The market resolves as YES if any official, major announcement regarding GDP, such as a significant methodology change or a substantial upward/downward revision impacting future projections, is publicly released by a governmental or recognized economic body before December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves as NO.
Source: zeitgeist
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