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India's 10-year government bond yield falls below 7.0% by December 2026

Resolves: India's 10-year government bond yield (10Y INR) is ≤ 6.90% on 2026-12-31.

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user-generated· macro

India's 10-year government bond yield falls below 7.0% by December 20…

Market overview

Reduced short-term debt issuance by banks lowers overall market supply and signals monetary policy easing. By December 2026, the 10-year Indian government bond yield will decline to 6.90%, down from 7.25% on July 6, 2026.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

India's 10-year government bond yield (10Y INR) is ≤ 6.90% on 2026-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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