UK 10-year gilt yields exceed 4.5% by 2027-06-30
Resolves: UK 10-year government bond yield (gilt) exceeds 4.5% as recorded by the Bank of England or market data providers on June 30, 2027
user-generated· macro
UK 10-year gilt yields exceed 4.5% by 2027-06-30
Market overview
Despite recent stability, rising inflation and fiscal concerns erode investor confidence. Given Burnham’s untested leadership and elevated debt levels, gilt yields are likely to rise significantly within 12 months.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 62%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK 10-year government bond yield (gilt) exceeds 4.5% as recorded by the Bank of England or market data providers on June 30, 2027
Source: user-generated
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