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Venezuela's inflation rate exceeds 300% in 2026 due to quake damage

Resolves: Venezuela's year-end 2026 inflation rate, as measured by the IMF or official Venezuelan statistics, exceeds 300%.

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user-generated· macro

Venezuela's inflation rate exceeds 300% in 2026 due to quake damage

Market overview

The earthquake's destruction of oil refineries and critical supply chains will exacerbate Venezuela's existing inflationary pressures. Analysts project inflation could surge from 280% in early 2026 to over 300% by year-end.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

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Resolution criteria

Venezuela's year-end 2026 inflation rate, as measured by the IMF or official Venezuelan statistics, exceeds 300%.

Source: user-generated

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