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BoJ to implement significant rate hike by December 2026

Resolves: Bank of Japan implements a policy rate increase of at least 50 basis points by 2026-12-31

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user-generated· macro

BoJ to implement significant rate hike by December 2026

Market overview

Goldman notes the BoJ's gradual hikes are insufficient to stem yen depreciation. Market pressure and fiscal stimulus risks may force a more aggressive policy shift by year-end.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

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Resolution criteria

Bank of Japan implements a policy rate increase of at least 50 basis points by 2026-12-31

Source: user-generated

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