Skip to main content

S&P 500 falls if April jobs fall below 50,000

Make a pick
user-generated· macro

S&P 500 falls if April jobs fall below 50,000

Market overview

If April nonfarm payrolls grow by less than 50,000, the S&P 500 will decline at least 1% on the report day. This scenario reflects concerns over economic weakness and potential recession signals.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%

Source: user-generated

More macro markets

Browse all macro markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…