Venezuela's GDP contracts by more than 5% in 2026 due to quake
Resolves: Venezuela's central bank or IMF releases GDP growth data for 2026 showing a contraction of more than 5%.
user-generated· macro
Venezuela's GDP contracts by more than 5% in 2026 due to quake
Market overview
The earthquake destroyed critical infrastructure and disrupted oil production, which accounts for 90% of Venezuela's export earnings. Economic analysts project a sharp contraction in GDP for 2026, with the quake exacerbating existing fiscal challenges.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Venezuela's central bank or IMF releases GDP growth data for 2026 showing a contraction of more than 5%.
Source: user-generated
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