Coney Island boardwalk redevelopment exceeds $1.2B total cost by project end
Resolves: Final project expenditure report from the New York City Department of Parks & Recreation or the project's official oversight body showing total spending exceeding $1.2 billion by December 31, 2029.
Coney Island boardwalk redevelopment exceeds $1.2B total cost by proj…
Market overview
Public infrastructure projects frequently exceed initial budget estimates due to unexpected costs such as material price inflation, labor shortages, and design changes. A final cost exceeding $1.2B would reflect typical overrun patterns for a $1B+ project.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2029-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Final project expenditure report from the New York City Department of Parks & Recreation or the project's official oversight body showing total spending exceeding $1.2 billion by December 31, 2029.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes