USD/JPY carry trade AUM exceeds $150B by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Total AUM in USD/JPY carry trades reaches or exceeds $150 billion as reported by major investment banks or data aggregators (e.g., Bloomberg, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, or BIS).
user-generated· macro
USD/JPY carry trade AUM exceeds $150B by 2026-12-31
Market overview
The total assets under management in USD/JPY carry trades will surpass $150 billion by year-end 2026, driven by widening US-Japan interest rate differentials and increased institutional adoption. Goldman Sachs' bullish outlook on carry trades provides a tailwind for this expansion.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Total AUM in USD/JPY carry trades reaches or exceeds $150 billion as reported by major investment banks or data aggregators (e.g., Bloomberg, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, or BIS).
Source: user-generated
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