Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points by March 2027
Resolves: The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee reduces the federal funds rate by at least 50 basis points from its 2026-07-12 level, as measured by the effective federal funds rate on or before 2027-03-17.
user-generated· macro
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points by March 2027
Market overview
Persistent disinflation trends and slowing economic growth are expected to prompt the Federal Reserve to embark on a rate-cutting cycle. Market pricing indicates a high likelihood of a 50bps cut within the next eight months.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-03-17
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee reduces the federal funds rate by at least 50 basis points from its 2026-07-12 level, as measured by the effective federal funds rate on or before 2027-03-17.
Source: user-generated
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