US Midwest temperatures rise above 35°C by May 15
user-generated· macro
US Midwest temperatures rise above 35°C by May 15
Market overview
The heatwave currently affecting the western US and Mexico will shift eastward toward the Midwest by May 15, 2026. Historical trends and forecast models indicate sustained high temperatures in the region.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…