US productivity growth remains below 2% in 2026
Resolves: U.S. annual average productivity growth for 2026 is less than 2%
user-generated· macro
US productivity growth remains below 2% in 2026
Market overview
Deutsche Bank’s forecast implies AI’s current impact on productivity is negligible. US productivity growth for 2026 will fail to exceed 2%, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics annual average.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2027-01-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. annual average productivity growth for 2026 is less than 2%
Source: user-generated
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