UK experiences winter gas shortage by January 2027 without Jackdaw approval
Resolves: UK experiences a verified domestic gas supply shortage during winter 2026/27 due to insufficient production or imports.
user-generated· macro
UK experiences winter gas shortage by January 2027 without Jackdaw ap…
Market overview
The UK will face a domestic gas supply shortage during winter 2026/27 if the Jackdaw gas field is not approved by September 2026. With only eight days of gas storage and high demand, any disruption to wind or solar generation could trigger a supply emergency, as warned by Adura's CEO.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK experiences a verified domestic gas supply shortage during winter 2026/27 due to insufficient production or imports.
Source: user-generated
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