Israel protests halt F-35 sale to Turkey by 2027-Q2
Resolves: U.S. government publicly announces or confirms that the F-35 sale to Turkey is canceled or indefinitely delayed due to Israeli protests or regional military balance concerns by June 30, 2027.
user-generated· geopolitics
Israel protests halt F-35 sale to Turkey by 2027-Q2
Market overview
Israel’s objections and pressure on the U.S. to maintain military edge in the region could derail the F-35 sale. Given Netanyahu’s direct appeal to Trump, a veto or delay is likely despite initial signals.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. government publicly announces or confirms that the F-35 sale to Turkey is canceled or indefinitely delayed due to Israeli protests or regional military balance concerns by June 30, 2027.
Source: user-generated
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