US and Iran reach new interim nuclear deal by end of 2026
Resolves: A publicly announced interim nuclear agreement between the US and Iran is signed and implemented by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· geopolitics
US and Iran reach new interim nuclear deal by end of 2026
Market overview
Despite recent strikes, diplomatic pressure will push both sides to strike an interim nuclear agreement by December 2026. The deal would include limited sanctions relief for Iran in exchange for temporary nuclear rollbacks. Market optimism over reduced tensions would likely buoy oil prices and risk assets.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A publicly announced interim nuclear agreement between the US and Iran is signed and implemented by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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