China conducts naval drills near Taiwan within 90 days
Resolves: China announces or is reported by two major news outlets to have conducted a naval exercise within 200 nautical miles of Taiwan.
user-generated· geopolitics
China conducts naval drills near Taiwan within 90 days
Market overview
China will hold a major naval exercise within 200 nautical miles of Taiwan by Nov 18, 2026.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-11-18
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
China announces or is reported by two major news outlets to have conducted a naval exercise within 200 nautical miles of Taiwan.
Source: user-generated
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