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Venezuela's GDP growth exceeds 4% in 2026 due to reconstruction spending

Resolves: Venezuela's annual GDP growth rate for 2026, as reported by the Central Bank of Venezuela or a reputable international agency (IMF, World Bank), is 4.2% or higher.

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user-generated· macro

Venezuela's GDP growth exceeds 4% in 2026 due to reconstruction spend…

Market overview

The reconstruction efforts following the June 2026 earthquakes will boost Venezuela's GDP growth to at least 4.2% for the full year 2026. Increased public and private investment in infrastructure and housing will drive economic activity.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2027-03-31

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Resolution criteria

Venezuela's annual GDP growth rate for 2026, as reported by the Central Bank of Venezuela or a reputable international agency (IMF, World Bank), is 4.2% or higher.

Source: user-generated

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