Czech National Bank will cut rates by at least 50bps by December 2026
Resolves: CNB policy rate (2W repo) is 25bps or more below the June 2026 level (5.75%) by December 31, 2026
user-generated· macro
Czech National Bank will cut rates by at least 50bps by December 2026
Market overview
Czech inflation slowed to 2.8% in June 2026, below the central bank's 3% target. With disinflation accelerating faster than expected, the CNB is likely to ease policy aggressively to avoid overshooting its mandate.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
CNB policy rate (2W repo) is 25bps or more below the June 2026 level (5.75%) by December 31, 2026
Source: user-generated
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