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user-generated· World

Will a unified, internationally recognized government be formed in Li…

Market overview

The agreement to hold elections aims to unify the country's fractured political landscape. However, even if elections occur, forming a stable, unified government that gains broad international recognition has historically been a major hurdle in Libya.

World prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
30%
Closes
2026-11-28

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if a single, unified government is established in Libya and recognized by the United Nations by June 30, 2026. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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