Will Hezbollah launch a major rocket attack targeting Tel Aviv by August 31, 2027?
Resolves: YES if Hezbollah publicly claims responsibility for a rocket attack that hits within the municipal boundaries of Tel Aviv. NO otherwise.
user-generated· World
Will Hezbollah launch a major rocket attack targeting Tel Aviv by Aug…
Market overview
An expansion of Israeli ground operations into Lebanon could provoke a significant retaliatory response from Hezbollah. Tel Aviv is a major population center and a likely target for such an escalation.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2029-08-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if Hezbollah publicly claims responsibility for a rocket attack that hits within the municipal boundaries of Tel Aviv. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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