Iran escalates Strait of Hormuz blockade by 2028
user-generated· macro
Iran escalates Strait of Hormuz blockade by 2028
Market overview
Iran will significantly intensify its disruption of maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by Q2 2025, citing retaliatory measures against the US naval blockade. This escalation will push global oil prices above $100 per barrel within 30 days of the action.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
Source: user-generated
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