Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points in Q4 2026
Resolves: The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces a 50 basis point cut to the federal funds rate in its policy statement released on or before 2026-12-16, with the new target rate effective immediately.
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points in Q4 2026
Market overview
The Federal Reserve will reduce the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to stimulate economic growth in response to softening labor market indicators and declining inflation. The cut will follow two smaller 25 basis point reductions earlier in the year.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-16
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces a 50 basis point cut to the federal funds rate in its policy statement released on or before 2026-12-16, with the new target rate effective immediately.
Source: user-generated
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