UK inflation exceeds 3.5% by Q4 2026
Resolves: UK CPI inflation as reported by ONS for December 2026 exceeds 3.5%.
user-generated· macro
UK inflation exceeds 3.5% by Q4 2026
Market overview
Bank of England projections suggest inflation may rise again due to tight fiscal conditions and wage pressures. Reeves acknowledges inflation is still above target, setting up a potential breach by year-end.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK CPI inflation as reported by ONS for December 2026 exceeds 3.5%.
Source: user-generated
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