Japan's Treasury sales during interventions exceed $50B by 2026-12-31
user-generated· macro
Japan's Treasury sales during interventions exceed $50B by 2026-12-31
Market overview
If Japan’s interventions in the yen require significant liquidity, it will likely sell U.S. Treasuries to fund purchases. Treasury sales of this magnitude would signal extreme yen weakness and force a policy response.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…