JD Vance’s approval rating among Republicans declines post-2026
Resolves: Poll aggregator (e.g., FiveThirtyEight, RealClearPolitics) shows a sustained 5+ percentage point decline in JD Vance’s favorable rating among Republicans from his 2026 baseline.
user-generated· macro
JD Vance’s approval rating among Republicans declines post-2026
Market overview
Griffin’s endorsement of Rubio and public criticism of Vance’s foreign policy stance will reduce Vance’s favorability among Republican voters by at least 5 percentage points over the next 12 months. Polling data will reflect this downward trend.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2027-07-09
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Poll aggregator (e.g., FiveThirtyEight, RealClearPolitics) shows a sustained 5+ percentage point decline in JD Vance’s favorable rating among Republicans from his 2026 baseline.
Source: user-generated
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