Desert rain frog population to decline 30% by 2028
Resolves: Scientific surveys or IUCN assessments confirm a 30% or greater decline in the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) population between July 2026 and June 2028.
user-generated· macro
Desert rain frog population to decline 30% by 2028
Market overview
The desert rain frog’s population will decline by at least 30% by 2028 due to ongoing diamond mining in its habitat and climate change-induced habitat degradation. This prediction is based on the frog’s known ecological vulnerability and current threats.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 78%
- Closes
- 2028-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Scientific surveys or IUCN assessments confirm a 30% or greater decline in the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) population between July 2026 and June 2028.
Source: user-generated
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