Skip to main content

Fed cuts rates at least once in 2027 amid economic slowdown

Resolves: The Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate target range in any FOMC meeting scheduled in 2027.

Make a pick
user-generated· macro

Fed cuts rates at least once in 2027 amid economic slowdown

Market overview

The dot plot from the June 2026 meeting signals a rate cut in 2027, and historical cycles show the Fed often pares back hikes as economic conditions evolve. A slowdown is likely to prompt at least one cut by December 2027.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2027-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate target range in any FOMC meeting scheduled in 2027.

Source: user-generated

More macro markets

Browse all macro markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…