China increases Iranian oil imports by 20% by December 2026
Resolves: China's monthly imports of Iranian crude oil exceed 785,000 barrels per day for at least two consecutive months by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
China increases Iranian oil imports by 20% by December 2026
Market overview
Despite current low enthusiasm from China, geopolitical pressures and strategic stockpiling needs will drive a measurable rebound in Iranian oil purchases. Analysts note that China's energy strategy remains flexible, and any easing of Middle East tensions could prompt renewed buying.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
China's monthly imports of Iranian crude oil exceed 785,000 barrels per day for at least two consecutive months by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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