UK healthy life expectancy to rise by 1 year by 2028
Resolves: ONS reports UK healthy life expectancy of ≥61.7 years for men and ≥61.9 years for women in the 2027-2029 dataset, an increase of ≥1 year from the 2022-2024 levels.
user-generated· macro
UK healthy life expectancy to rise by 1 year by 2028
Market overview
In response to increased NHS funding and policy reforms targeting chronic care, the UK's healthy life expectancy will rebound by at least one year by 2028. This prediction accounts for the 2.5-year decline observed between 2019-2021 and 2022-2024, suggesting a correction phase.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2028-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
ONS reports UK healthy life expectancy of ≥61.7 years for men and ≥61.9 years for women in the 2027-2029 dataset, an increase of ≥1 year from the 2022-2024 levels.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…