Federal Reserve cuts benchmark rate by 25 basis points in 2026 Q4
Resolves: The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) implements a 25-basis-point reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate during the fourth quarter of 2026.
user-generated· macro
Federal Reserve cuts benchmark rate by 25 basis points in 2026 Q4
Market overview
Despite persistent inflation concerns, economic data suggests the Fed will prioritize supporting economic growth by late 2026. A slowdown in inflation and cooling labor market conditions could prompt a measured rate cut.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) implements a 25-basis-point reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate during the fourth quarter of 2026.
Source: user-generated
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