Iran retaliates with oil export cuts within 3 months
Resolves: Iran's oil exports fall below 1.5 million barrels per day or drop by ≥15% from pre-sanctions levels by 2026-11-22.
user-generated· macro
Iran retaliates with oil export cuts within 3 months
Market overview
Iran will reduce oil exports by at least 15% within 90 days of new U.S. sanctions.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-11-22
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Iran's oil exports fall below 1.5 million barrels per day or drop by ≥15% from pre-sanctions levels by 2026-11-22.
Source: user-generated
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