Chicago sees 20% increase in police-reported shootings by Q3 2026

Market overview

Given Axios' emphasis on urban crime spikes, Chicago's police-reported shooting incidents are expected to rise by 20% compared to 2025 by the third quarter of 2026. This aligns with trends observed in similar cities under comparable policy frameworks.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Source: user-generated

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