Fed cuts interest rates by 25bps or more by November 2026
Resolves: The Federal Reserve's FOMC reduces its federal funds rate target by 25 basis points or more in a meeting on or before November 30, 2026.
user-generated· macro
Fed cuts interest rates by 25bps or more by November 2026
Market overview
The Fed will implement at least a 25bps rate cut by November 2026, driven by the improved inflation outlook from the PCE revision. Market expectations for easing will strengthen as core inflation falls below 3.5% by mid-2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve's FOMC reduces its federal funds rate target by 25 basis points or more in a meeting on or before November 30, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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