Shapiro secures Pennsylvania Senate seat in 2026 election

Josh Shapiro is a rising star in the Democratic Party with strong approval ratings in Pennsylvania. His leadership and fundraising could position him as a top Senate candidate in 2026. Pennsylvania's swing-state status makes this a high-stakes race.

elections · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

More elections markets

• Reform UK gains more seats than Labour in 2028 general election — 60% Yes
• Jim Clyburn loses reelection bid in South Carolina's 6th district — 85% Yes
• Democrats replace Platner with candidate polling stronger than him — 72% Yes
• Susan Collins retains Senate seat with increased margin — 78% Yes
• Democrats will nominate a more electable candidate than Platner by August 2026 — 70% Yes
• Susan Collins leads her Democratic opponent by at least 5 points in Maine polls by October 2026 — 75% Yes
• Maine Democrats' nominating convention selects a replacement candidate by August 15, 2026 — 90% Yes
• Susan Collins retains Senate seat with 5+ point margin — 70% Yes

Browse all elections markets →