user-generated· elections
Susan Collins retains Senate seat with 5+ point margin
With Platner's campaign weakened by allegations and potential withdrawal, Republican Sen. Susan Collins gains a clear advantage. Polling leads and fundraising gaps will solidify her dominance in Maine's general election.
elections · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-11-03
More elections markets
- Jim Clyburn loses reelection bid in South Carolina's 6th district — 85% Yes
- Democrats replace Platner with candidate polling stronger than him — 72% Yes
- Susan Collins retains Senate seat with increased margin — 78% Yes
- Democrats will nominate a more electable candidate than Platner by August 2026 — 70% Yes
- Susan Collins leads her Democratic opponent by at least 5 points in Maine polls by October 2026 — 75% Yes
- Maine Democrats' nominating convention selects a replacement candidate by August 15, 2026 — 90% Yes
- Tennessee Democrats gain seats in 2026 midterms due to redistricting delay — 70% Yes
- Reform UK gains more seats than Labour in 2028 general election — 60% Yes
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