China CPI remains below 1.5% in 2026 H2
Resolves: China's official consumer price index (CPI) for the second half of 2026 (average of July to December) remains below 1.5% year-on-year.
user-generated· macro
China CPI remains below 1.5% in 2026 H2
Market overview
Weak domestic demand and falling food prices are expected to keep consumer inflation subdued. The trend contrasts with robust export-driven growth, reinforcing structural imbalances in the Chinese economy.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
China's official consumer price index (CPI) for the second half of 2026 (average of July to December) remains below 1.5% year-on-year.
Source: user-generated
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