Fed cuts interest rates by at least 25bps before 2026-12-31
Resolves: Federal Reserve announces a reduction in the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points (0.25%) before 2026-12-31.
user-generated· macro
Fed cuts interest rates by at least 25bps before 2026-12-31
Market overview
The Fed's June 2026 decision signaled a tougher stance on rates, contributing to the momentum stock selloff. Economic data in late 2026 may force the Fed to reverse course, particularly if inflation cools further or unemployment rises. Rate cuts would likely reignite momentum stock rallies.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Federal Reserve announces a reduction in the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points (0.25%) before 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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