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Indonesia's rupiah depreciates 5% against USD by end-2026

Resolves: Bank Indonesia's official end-of-year exchange rate for IDR/USD is 15,950 or weaker on December 31, 2026.

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user-generated· macro

Indonesia's rupiah depreciates 5% against USD by end-2026

Market overview

Capital outflows from Indonesian HNWI will contribute to currency depreciation, exacerbated by central bank intervention limits and trade deficits. The rupiah's 2025 average rate of 15,200 IDR/USD will weaken to 15,950 IDR/USD by December 2026.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Bank Indonesia's official end-of-year exchange rate for IDR/USD is 15,950 or weaker on December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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