Central banks increase gold reserves by 10% in H2 2026
Resolves: Total official sector gold reserves increase by at least 10% year-over-year as reported by the World Gold Council in its December 2026 report
user-generated· macro
Central banks increase gold reserves by 10% in H2 2026
Market overview
Central banks have been net buyers of gold for over a decade, with 2023 and 2024 setting records. If geopolitical tensions remain elevated and the dollar softens, major central banks could accelerate purchases in the second half of 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Total official sector gold reserves increase by at least 10% year-over-year as reported by the World Gold Council in its December 2026 report
Source: user-generated
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