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Fed maintains rates unchanged through Dec 2026

Resolves: Federal Reserve keeps the Fed Funds Rate target range unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% through December 31, 2026.

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user-generated· macro

Fed maintains rates unchanged through Dec 2026

Market overview

Despite internal divisions, the Fed is likely to maintain its current rate stance through year-end due to high uncertainty and lack of clear forward guidance. The committee's preference for data dependence will prevent aggressive moves.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Federal Reserve keeps the Fed Funds Rate target range unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% through December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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