Iran increases uranium enrichment capacity within 12 months

Market overview

Iran has historically used negotiations as leverage to expand its nuclear program. With stalled diplomacy, Iran is likely to accelerate enrichment to pressure the US and demonstrate defiance.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Source: user-generated

More geopolitics markets

• Will global oil benchmarks (Brent/WTI) stay below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 55% Yes
• Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in a major active conflict zone by Q3 2026, leading to global oil benchmarks staying below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 30% Yes
• Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in at least one major active conflict zone by Q3 2026? — 60% Yes
• Ukraine-Serbia defense deal signed — 60% Yes
• Iran conducts major cyberattack on European NATO members by 2026-12-31 — 58% Yes
• Zamfara bandit violence escalates by December 2026 — 75% Yes
• Iran launches retaliatory attacks on U.S. assets — 60% Yes
• Trump to announce Iran nuclear deal within 60 days — 60% Yes

Browse all geopolitics markets →