US WTI crude oil production drops by 5% year-over-year by 2026-Q4
Resolves: US EIA data shows average monthly WTI crude oil production in Q4 2026 is at least 5% lower than the corresponding period in 2025.
user-generated· macro
US WTI crude oil production drops by 5% year-over-year by 2026-Q4
Market overview
Escalating Middle East tensions and US sanctions on Iranian oil exports reduce global supply stability. US shale production may decline due to reduced investment and operational disruptions, leading to a 5% YoY drop in WTI production by Q4 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
US EIA data shows average monthly WTI crude oil production in Q4 2026 is at least 5% lower than the corresponding period in 2025.
Source: user-generated
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