Credit card delinquency rates rise above 3.5% by December 2026
Resolves: Credit card delinquency rates in the U.S. exceed 3.5% as reported by the Federal Reserve or a major credit bureau for December 2026.
user-generated· macro
Credit card delinquency rates rise above 3.5% by December 2026
Market overview
Credit card delinquency rates have been trending upward due to economic headwinds such as inflation and rising interest rates. Analysts expect this trend to accelerate through Q4 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Credit card delinquency rates in the U.S. exceed 3.5% as reported by the Federal Reserve or a major credit bureau for December 2026.
Source: user-generated
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