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Fed raises rates again by December 2026

Resolves: The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate again between July 8, 2026, and December 31, 2026, as indicated by official statements or policy actions.

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user-generated· macro

Fed raises rates again by December 2026

Market overview

Given historical Fed behavior and internal dissent indicated in the minutes, policymakers are more likely to continue hiking rates rather than stop after one move. Market pricing and Bullard's remarks support the likelihood of a tightening cycle.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate again between July 8, 2026, and December 31, 2026, as indicated by official statements or policy actions.

Source: user-generated

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