UK sees at least one 36C+ day in 2026
Resolves: Met Office records show at least one day in 2026 where temperatures reached or exceeded 36C.
user-generated· macro
UK sees at least one 36C+ day in 2026
Market overview
Despite not breaking daily temperature records, the current heatwave will be followed by at least one additional day where temperatures reach or exceed 36C in 2026. This would represent a notable escalation in extreme heat intensity, even if not exceeding the 2022 record of 40.3C.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 62%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Met Office records show at least one day in 2026 where temperatures reached or exceeded 36C.
Source: user-generated
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