US GDP growth exceeds 3.5% YoY by Q4 2026
Resolves: US Bureau of Economic Analysis reports Q4 2026 real GDP growth of at least 3.5% YoY, based on advance estimate published by 2027-01-30.
user-generated· macro
US GDP growth exceeds 3.5% YoY by Q4 2026
Market overview
Paglia's characterization of the US economy as 'revolutionary' implies exceptional growth momentum. Recent data suggests sustained expansion, with third-quarter 2026 GDP growth likely to exceed consensus forecasts of 2.8%.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
US Bureau of Economic Analysis reports Q4 2026 real GDP growth of at least 3.5% YoY, based on advance estimate published by 2027-01-30.
Source: user-generated
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